ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

A message from Filip Rideau, ManpowerGroup Middle East Country Manager

"The UAE is leading the global employment landscape with exceptional confidence in hiring for Q3 2025. With a Net Employment Outlook of +48%, the highest globally, our labor market is reflecting not just resilience, but a robust appetite for growth. The transport, consumer goods, and energy sectors are driving this momentum, signaling a strong demand for skilled talent across industries. These findings are a testament to the UAE's economic agility, policy stability, and its ongoing investment in innovation and infrastructure." comments Mr. Filip Rideau, Country Manager of ManpowerGroup Middle East. “With the strongest hiring outlook globally and sector performances above international averages, the UAE is positioned for continuous growth, in line with the country’s vision and economic plans for the upcoming years.”​

​Key Findings

  • UAE’s Net Employment Outlook (NEO) for Q3 2025 is +48%, ranking first globally for its employment expectations, 24 points above the global average.

  • The most competitive sector in the UAE is Transport, Logistics & Automotive with an outlook of +64%, and ranking first globally above the sector’s average NEO by 41 points.

  • The UAE also ranks first in Consumer Goods & Services and Energy & Utilities, reporting figures that are significantly higher by 27 and 43 points above the global averages, respectively.

  • Micro-organizations of less than 10 employees in UAE are the only ones ranking among the bottom half of countries for its employment expectations, 1 point below the global average.

  • Across UAE, nearly 7 out of 10 (69%) companies are future-proofing their HR strategy for an aging workforce.

  • A growing number of companies have focused on automation to handle repetitive tasks, with 77% reporting increased investment.

  • Employers in UAE said company expansion is the top reason for staffing increases, followed by lack of latest skills driving hiring needs

  • Optimizing processes for efficiency influence workforce reductions in UAE, with 33% of employers reporting this, as well as automation (33%), as the main factors impacting staffing reductions.

Find The Talent and Solutions You Need

To discuss the results personally or explore how ManpowerGroup can help you find the talent and solutions needed to propel your organization forward, contact us today.

The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey measures employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforce during the upcoming quarter. It is the most extensive forward-looking survey of its kind, unparalleled in its size, scope and longevity. The Survey has been running since 1962 and is one of the most trusted indicators of labor market trends in the world.
All the data in the survey is based on the answer to one question: How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the coming three months as compared to the current quarter? In addition to the main employment question, the survey asks up to six additional questions which change quarterly. These questions reflect changing economic or workforce dynamics and trends. Topic areas range from talent shortage to workforce training and development to employee sentiments and well-being.
The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. A positive Net Employment Outlook figure means that, on balance, there are more employers who expect to add to their headcount in the following three months than those who intend to reduce staff.
The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey only measures if employers expect to hire or not and does not provide information about specific job changes. The Survey is a forecast, not a commitment, based on informed opinions from employers and hiring managers on what will likely happen in their organization in the following quarter.
The methodology used to collect the data for the Employment Outlook is digitized across the 41 markets, beginning with the Q1 2022 report. Respondents in previous quarters were contacted via telephone. Data is now collected online with double opt-in member panels and they are incentivized to complete the survey. The survey participants are not derived from ManpowerGroup’s customer base. To protect the integrity of the data, survey respondents remain completely anonymous and confidential. In line with standard findings of online surveys, more people are now taking a position – selecting that their workforce will either increase or decrease vs. no change. Because the Net Employment Outlook is based only on the people saying increase or decrease, the result of this higher level of engagement means the methodology shift may contribute to a higher Outlook.
Employers are selected based on the types of companies and organizations they represent. We want to ensure that our panel is representative of each participating country’s national labor market, so each country’s panel is built in proportion to that country’s overall distribution of industry sectors and organization sizes.
The person we select to interview will be someone with a good overview of staffing levels and hiring intentions within their organization. Normally this will be the head of HR or an HR manager. However, in smaller organizations, that person may be a general manager or even the CEO.
Reputation Leaders is our lead research partner who analyzes data for all 41 countries and territories to ensure consistency.
Seasonal adjustment is a statistical process that allows the Survey data to be presented without the impact of hiring fluctuations that normally occur through the course of the year, usually as a result of various external factors, such changes in weather, traditional production cycles and public holidays. Seasonal adjustment has the effect of flattening peaks and smoothing troughs in the data to better illustrate underlying employment trends and provide a more accurate representation of the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey results.
ManpowerGroup does not track retrospective hiring trends as part of the Employment Outlook Survey, only forward-looking expectations. However, we are able to see that the Survey results do align with employment trends reported by governments and other organizations quite closely and provide one of the most robust and trusted indicators of forward-looking labor market trends in the world.
There are several ways to review the results which are reported for 41 countries across 4 regions and specific industries within each. The current results, including the Net Employment Outlook, provide a snapshot of employers’ expectations for the coming three months. Comparing this result to the previous quarter provides a short-term perspective of hiring expectations in a particular country or sector, while comparing to the previous year gives a longer-term view on employer intentions.